Archive for the ‘driverless cars’ Category

A machine is anything that helps us simplify work. By that definition, a car is a machine that helps us simplify the work of locomotion. However, we do need to do some work when using a car – we need to drive it. Wouldn’t life be easier if we could just get into the car, say where we want to go and doze off until the destination is reached? Fantastical as it may seem, it may be possible in near future if the innovations showcases in the DARPA Urban Challenge in 2007 are developed to their full potentials.

If you are a science-fiction fan, you must remember the taxi with the robot driver in “Total Recall” that Arnold Schwarzenegger dismantles violently when it refuses his order to “just drive” and insists on knowing the name of his destination. Although you may not see such autonomous cars on the roads anytime soon, the participants at the DARPA Urban Challenge give us cause for hope.
While the first two required driverless cars to negotiate roads, turns and tunnels in the desert without human intervention, the last one required the cars to follow traffic laws in a simulated urban environment. Therefore, while the first two challenges were more physically demanding but had little interaction between the vehicles, the Urban Challenge required the individual participants to make “intelligent” decisions in real time based on the actions of other vehicles.

Although the competitions were open to teams across the world, each team had to have at least one American citizen as a member. The reason behind these competitions was the ultimate goal of making,one-third of US ground military forces autonomous by 2015.

The third competition was the toughest of all and required “teams to build an autonomous vehicle capable of driving in traffic, performing complex maneuvers such as merging, passing, parking, and negotiating intersections.” Development of such technology has potentially immense benefits not only for military purposes, but civilian uses as well. Besides the obvious advantage of ease of travel, this technology, when revised and popularized, can ease traffic congestion and prevent accidents, saving thousands of lives and billions of dollars every year in addition to reducing pollution and unproductive time.

In a nutshell, the participants were required to comply with the following rules:

Vehicle must be stock or have a documented safety record.
Vehicle must obey the California state driving laws.
Vehicle must be entirely autonomous, using only the information it detects with its sensors and public signals such as GPS.
DARPA will provide the route network 24 hours before the race starts.
Vehicles must traverse the route by driving between specified checkpoints.
DARPA will provide a file detailing the order the checkpoints must be driven to 5 minutes before the race start.
Vehicles may “stop and stare” for 10 seconds maximum.
Vehicles must operate in rain and fog, with GPS blocked.
Vehicles must avoid collision with vehicles and other objects such as carts, bicycles, traffic barrels, and objects in the environment such as utility poles.
Vehicles must be able to operate in parking areas and perform U-turns as required by the situation.

Of the 89 teams that applied, 53 were notified they had qualified for DARPA site visits based on their technical papers and videos. After actual testing of the vehicles, the list was whittled down to 35 who were invited to the National Qualification Event (NQE), a rigorous eight-day vehicle testing period. The NQE was held across three different test areas in the remodeled George Air Force Base (currently used as Southern California Logistics Airport), in Victorville, California. This was also the venue for the finals three months later to which 11 of the 35 at the NQE qualified.

These 11 finalists included a lot of collaborations between universities and their corporate partners – Carnegie Mellon with GM, Stanford with Volkswagen, Virginia Tech with TORC Technologies, etc. The final event consisted of three missions totaling around 55 miles, to be completed in six hours. Besides the competitors themselves, 30 Ford Tauruses driven by professional drivers were introduced into the course to increase complexity of traffic maneuvers.

While time to finish was a major factor in allocation of points, participants were penalized for violations, dangerous behavior, delays, etc. Thus, although the team from Stanford finished earliest with their vehicle “Junior,” a Volkswagen Passat, the team from Tartan Racing, a collaboration between Carnegie Mellon and GM, with their Chevrolet Tahoe “Boss,” were declared the winners after tabulating points. Of the 11 finalists, six finished the course within 6 hours, testimony to the tremendous improvements since the first Grand Challenge 3 years before where not a single vehicle finished the course.

In conclusion, all 11 finalists received DARPA funding for additional research and it is hoped that the lessons from these competitions have brought us nearer to a future of driverless cars.

The Google Driverless Car is a project by Google that involves developing technology for driverless cars.

Google has been working on driverless cars for a few years now. The obvious selling point is that the cars will be much safer without a human behind the wheel.

Currently, a car spends 96% of its time idle. Compare that with planes which spend almost their entire lifetime in operation/airborne. Idle planes aren’t making money, and they need to recoup their hefty $120M price tag. There is an unforgiving economic incentive to make sure it is always in use.

The proliferation of driverless cars will have a similar effect. Cars will spend less time idle: why would a household buy 2 (or even 3) cars, when they only need 1? Ride to work, then send the car home to your spouse. Need to go grocery shopping, but your kid also needs a ride to a soccer game? No problem, a driverless car can handle that.

What will begin as households cutting back to a single car, will expand. Why would a family need an entire car to themselves? That’s crazy! It may start as extended family in the same area sharing cars, then neighbors sharing cars, and then entire apartment/condo complexes in cities offering driverless cars bundled into their HOA/rent.

The operating percent of a car will go from 4% to that 96%. But back to my leading statement: there are unintended consequences. Parked cars will be a relic from the past. What happens to car insurance prices if a driver is no longer part of the equation? And if cars are receiving 20 times more actual use, that would imply that there would be 20 times less cars sold.[1] This is the kind of disruptive change that can reshape the automotive industry. The recent GM/Chrysler bailout may have been for naught.